Economics at Duke University

Durham, NC · Private nonprofit · Bachelor's Degree
76 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case)
77
Optimistic
76
Base Case
72
Pessimistic
Earnings $98,649/yr (83% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (56% exposed)
Job Market Very Large (293,500 openings/yr)
ROI 5.3x earnings multiple
Ranked #26 of 351 Economics programs Top 10%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Economics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $1,491K $1,389K $1,078K
Earnings Multiple 5.7x 5.3x 4.1x
Probability of Field Employment 66% 60% 41%
DegreeOutlook Score 77 76 72

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition (Sticker)
$263,220
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$137,816
48% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$13,187
1.6 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$171,986
74% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

At $98,649 per year, Economics graduates from Duke University significantly outpace the $53,966 national average for this major, reflecting strong employer demand for this program's graduates.

The earnings-to-cost ratio of 5.3x signals a solid financial return — projected decade earnings comfortably exceed the tuition investment.

Some AI exposure exists in Economics's typical career paths, with 56% of job tasks potentially affected. The pessimistic scenario still projects solid returns, with a 28% gap from the optimistic case.

The median debt load of $13,187 represents less than half a year of starting salary — among the lightest debt-to-income ratios we track.

Ranked #26 of 351 programs, Duke University's Economics program falls in the top 10%, outperforming most peers on financial outcomes.

Five-year earnings of $171,986 show a 74% jump from the $98,649 starting point — strong upward trajectory suggesting real career acceleration.

About Duke University

With just 7% of applicants admitted, Duke University ranks among the nation's most selective schools, with a mid-sized student body of 6,417 in Durham, NC. After financial aid, the average student pays $137,816 over four years — 48% below sticker price.

See all programs and financial aid at Duke University →

Top Career Paths

Managers, all other $136,550/yr
Economics teachers, postsecondary $119,980/yr
Economists $115,440/yr
View all 9 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Economics at Other Schools

Other Majors at Duke University

Explore the Trade Alternative

Not every career requires a four-year degree. Trade programs in related fields can offer competitive salaries with a fraction of the student loan burden.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Economics at Duke University?
This program scores 76/100 — placing it among the stronger programs for Economics nationally. The score reflects above-average earnings, manageable AI risk, and solid financial return.
Will AI replace Economics careers?
With 56% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $1,078,462 in decade earnings vs $1,491,456 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →