History at Duke University

Durham, NC · Private nonprofit · Bachelor's Degree
57 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case)
57
Optimistic
57
Base Case
52
Pessimistic
Earnings $60,750/yr (88% vs median)
AI Risk High (44% exposed)
Job Market Very Large (188,200 openings/yr)
ROI 2.6x earnings multiple
Ranked #9 of 389 History programs Top 5%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to History graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $707K $686K $612K
Earnings Multiple 2.7x 2.6x 2.3x
Probability of Field Employment 50% 45% 34%
DegreeOutlook Score 57 57 52

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition (Sticker)
$263,220
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$137,816
48% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$13,000
2.6 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$85,818
41% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

First-year earnings of $60,750 put Duke University's History program 88% above the national median of $32,281 — one of the higher-earning programs in this field.

At 2.6x tuition cost, the financial math is tight. Decade earnings don't dramatically exceed what you paid, making school choice and aid packages critical.

The 13% difference between AI scenarios reflects partial automation exposure. Some History career paths face displacement, but others in the field are more insulated.

With first-year pay of $60,750 far exceeding the $13,000 median debt, the payback timeline is measured in months, not years.

Duke University ranks #9 among 389 History programs, placing it in the top 5% nationally by our financial outcomes measure.

A 41% earnings increase from $60,750 to $85,818 over five years is solid — not a moonshot, but evidence of normal career advancement.

About Duke University

Duke University's 7% admission rate places it in the top tier of selectivity nationally, with a mid-sized student body of 6,417 in Durham, NC. After financial aid, the average student pays $137,816 over four years — 48% below sticker price.

See all programs and financial aid at Duke University →

Top Career Paths

Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Managers, all other $136,550/yr
History teachers, postsecondary $81,500/yr
View all 8 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

History at Other Schools

Compare History

Other Majors at Duke University

Consider the Trade Route?

Trade programs often mean less time in school, lower student debt, and hands-on career paths that tend to be more resilient to AI disruption.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 57/100 DegreeOutlook Score mean for History at Duke University?
At 57/100, Duke University's History program delivers middling returns. School cost and personal fit become important decision factors.
Should I worry about AI if I study History at Duke University?
The 44% AI task exposure score is above average. Our model shows this affecting job availability more than salaries — graduates may face stiffer competition for fewer positions.
Is Duke University one of the best schools for History?
Among 389 History programs, Duke University's #9 position reflects consistently above-average results across earnings, ROI, and employment probability.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →