Physics at University of California-San Diego

La Jolla, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
62 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
64
Optimistic
62
Base Case
61
Pessimistic
Earnings $48,951/yr (5% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (50% exposed)
Job Market Large (77,700 openings/yr)
ROI 12.9x earnings multiple (4.3x out-of-state)
Ranked #15 of 75 Physics programs Top 25%

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Physics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $832K $790K $690K
Earnings Multiple (In-State) 13.6x 12.9x 11.3x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) 4.5x 4.3x 3.7x
Probability of Field Employment 70% 62% 46%
DegreeOutlook Score 64 62 61

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$61,060
Out-of-state: $184,168 (4.3x ROI)
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$47,000
23% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$18,000
4.4 months of Year 1 earnings
Reported Earnings (5 Year)
$84,411
72% growth from Year 1

Program Analysis

First-year earnings of $48,951 at University of California-San Diego come in 5% above the national median of $46,482 for Physics programs.

Every dollar of in-state tuition returns an estimated 12.9x in decade earnings — an exceptional ratio that places this among the highest-ROI Physics programs nationally.

Some AI exposure exists in Physics's typical career paths, with 50% of job tasks potentially affected. The pessimistic scenario still projects solid returns, with a 17% gap from the optimistic case.

With first-year pay of $48,951 far exceeding the $18,000 median debt, the payback timeline is measured in months, not years.

At #15 of 75 nationally, this is a top-5% Physics program. Financial outcomes consistently outperform the vast majority of peers.

Five-year earnings of $84,411 show a 72% jump from the $48,951 starting point — strong upward trajectory suggesting real career acceleration.

About University of California-San Diego

University of California-San Diego accepts 25% of applicants — selective, though not ultra-competitive, one of the larger campuses at 33,787 students in La Jolla, CA.

See all programs and financial aid at University of California-San Diego →

Top Career Paths

Physicists $166,290/yr
Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Physics teachers, postsecondary $97,360/yr
View all 4 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Physics at Other Schools

Other Majors at University of California-San Diego

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the DegreeOutlook Score for Physics at University of California-San Diego?
A score of 62/100 puts this program in competitive territory — solid outcomes, though not at the top of the Physics field.
Will AI replace Physics careers?
With 50% of typical job tasks exposed to AI, this is one of the higher-risk fields. Our pessimistic scenario projects $690,301 in decade earnings vs $831,797 in the optimistic case — a meaningful gap.
What makes University of California-San Diego's Physics program stand out?
Ranked #15 of 75 programs nationally, University of California-San Diego lands in the top 25%. The ranking reflects a combination of graduate earnings, return on investment, and job market alignment.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →