Physics at University of California-Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz, CA · Public · Bachelor's Degree
36 /100
DegreeOutlook Score (Base Case) — assumes in-state tuition
37
Optimistic
36
Base Case
41
Pessimistic
Earnings $37,859/yr (-19% vs median)
AI Risk Very High (50% exposed)
Job Market Large (77,700 openings/yr)
ROI 7.8x earnings multiple (2.5x out-of-state)
Ranked #65 of 75 Physics programs

How AI Changes the Outlook

Three scenarios based on how aggressively AI disrupts the career paths available to Physics graduates.

Optimistic
No Disruption
Base Case
Gradual AI
Pessimistic
Aggressive AI
10-Year Earnings $451K $456K $441K
Earnings Multiple (In-State) 7.8x 7.8x 7.6x
Earnings Multiple (Out-of-State) 2.5x 2.5x 2.4x
Probability of Field Employment 70% 62% 46%
DegreeOutlook Score 37 36 41

10-Year Earnings Projection

*Year 1 uses actual reported earnings. Scenarios diverge as AI impact compounds over time.

4-Year Tuition, In-State (Sticker)
$58,240
Out-of-state: $181,348 (2.5x ROI)
4-Year Net Price (After Aid)
$66,428
-14% less than sticker · See by income
Median Debt at Graduation
$16,250
5.2 months of Year 1 earnings

Program Analysis

First-year earnings of $37,859 place University of California-Santa Cruz below the $46,482 national median for Physics — worth weighing against tuition and cost of living.

At 7.8x the cost of in-state tuition, the ten-year earnings outlook represents a strong return. Not exceptional, but meaningfully positive.

AI risk is moderate — 50% task exposure — and the 2% scenario spread suggests disruption would dent but not destroy the earnings outlook.

With first-year pay of $37,859 far exceeding the $16,250 median debt, the payback timeline is measured in months, not years.

At #65 out of 75 programs, University of California-Santa Cruz's financial outcomes for Physics trail the majority of peers. The value case depends on other factors.

About University of California-Santa Cruz

A 63% admission rate makes University of California-Santa Cruz accessible to a wide range of qualified students, with a mid-sized student body of 17,812 in Santa Cruz, CA.

See all programs and financial aid at University of California-Santa Cruz →

Top Career Paths

Physicists $166,290/yr
Natural sciences managers $161,180/yr
Physics teachers, postsecondary $97,360/yr
View all 4 career paths with salary ranges and AI risk →

Compare & Explore

Physics at Other Schools

Other Majors at University of California-Santa Cruz

Frequently Asked Questions

How does University of California-Santa Cruz's Physics program score?
This program scores 36/100 — on the lower end for Physics. Prospective students should carefully weigh costs against likely earnings.
How vulnerable is Physics to AI automation?
AI won't 'replace' Physics careers outright, but it is likely to reduce the number of job openings. We model 50% task exposure, which compresses field employment probability in our scenarios.
Why are Physics earnings lower at University of California-Santa Cruz?
Lower starting pay at University of California-Santa Cruz may reflect local labor market conditions rather than program quality. Many graduates see convergence with national averages within 3-5 years.
Scores use College Scorecard earnings, BLS employment projections, and AI task-exposure research. See full methodology →